DeriveDeribit
Updated · auto-checks every 5 min
Smart money (24 of 93 wallets whose returns hold up) is net long $19.5M HYPE. Cheap options: ZEC, CC, PUMP, VVV. Expensive: LIT.
KoolKrypto bought 23,500 spreads for $898.2K, posted it on X, and 161 wallets followed. (@koolkrypto223) bought 23,500 ETH 26 Mar 5000/7000 call spreads for $898.2K and said so on X. 161 other wallets hold matching legs; 131 first appear in our fill history on or after the post.
Each idea is recorded the first time it fires and marked at the current mid every 15 minutes; expired legs settle at intrinsic. Return is per unit of the structure as a share of the entry cost, before fees. Ideas open for less than a day are not scored yet.
Derive · Last 24h · Ranked by unusual activity
nearest expiry by strike · net premium by expiry, 24h
This page was calculated at 3 Oct, 21:37 UTC and checks for updates every 5 minutes while visible. Scheduled updates: quotes every minute; trade sync and alerts every 5 minutes; wallet statistics, cohorts and idea results every 15 minutes; wallet performance hourly.
Individual sources can be older than the page, and a check can return the same cached page while a newer version is prepared. Automatic checks pause in hidden tabs and catch up when you return.
Calculations and trade ideas use fixed rules and templates, not AI.
Market prices, open interest, volatility signals and flow on this page come from Derive. The biggest print is the largest contract execution or same-second sweep by underlying notional, before notable-trade ranking; a package leg is not the whole spread. Premium is the amount paid for the option. Deribit supplies comparison prices and the cross-venue scanner. Implied is the at-the-money vol interpolated to 30 days from the Derive chain; realized is the annualised standard deviation of daily index moves over the last 30 days. Below 0.85× we call options cheap, above 1.25× expensive. Smart money is the top quarter of wallets by risk-adjusted 90-day results, among those that made at least $5k and traded in the last two weeks, with market makers removed; "smart long" on an asset chip is their net delta. Ideas are generated by fixed rules from these numbers, not by a person or a model; payoff diagrams are per unit at expiry and ignore fees. Notable trades are ranked by size against the wallet's usual size, distance from spot, smart-money or followed status, price versus Deribit's mark, and package legs. Alerts are aggressor fills over $250k notional in options (with at least $2k premium) or $1M in perps, over $50k by a smart-money wallet, or over $10k by a wallet we follow by hand; market makers are left out of the whale rows. The same rules feed the Telegram alerts.